A working hypothesis. The opportunity scores and bands are my first attempt, and they don't yet include where SDP members and resources are. In my first month as leader I'd bring in people who know psephology better than I do, and our regional chairs, to test and change them before we choose the pilot local campaigns.
Matching
Click a ward or constituency on the map, or a row below, to see its details.
Top matches
Sources: council election years and ward holders from Open Council Data councillor records (July 2026; Rhys Carr and Jack McGlenen updated to SDP), so local government reorganisation may still move some dates. Ward boundaries: ONS, May 2026. Constituency data: Electoral Calculus (2024 results, predicted shares, demographics). Opportunity score and values match: Eleanor's working model (May 2026); draft, for debate. County council divisions are not shown; their next elections are in 2029.